But 20 years -WHERE is the main question here.
20 years in the landfill? - Ya, I can see that! 
Well, it could also be that the SMD resistor burned out because the LED started to draw more current as it approached its (short) end of life.
Like I said, a lot of my cheap 12V strips nearly doubled their current use after a few months of 8-12 hours per day operation. I wouldn't be surprised if an LED or two in those chip LEDs shorted out and drew a massive current through the resistor. Though the only way to know for sure is to buy one of these bulbs and measure the current going through the resistor. With:
W = R * I^2, you can easily find out how much power the resistor is dissipating and whether its power rating was chosen properly or not.
Actually, most white and blue LEDs drop a little less than 3V at low power. As you start pushing more current through the LED, then you might see the voltage drop raise to 3.2-3.4V.
That's why I am able to run mine on a 9V power supply (SMPS, regulated - not some linear transformer outputting 16V unloaded
). And at 9V, the LEDs seem to be running quite happily! (Though I will admit there are a few LEDs in the strip that don't quite fully light up until I give the strip a little over 10V - but that's a manufacturing variation to be expected with these cheap LEDs. You sure as heck won't see that from high quality LEDs.)Gee, and I thought the 150 Ohms resistors in my strips were bad enough.

39 Ohms is insane, actually. At 12V operation, there will be approximately 3V for that resistor to drop. So at 39 Ohms, you are looking at 1/13 of an Amp, or 77 mA passing through each LED!
That's 230 mW of power dissipation per LED. I doubt those Chinese LEDs can handle that. Heck, mine burned out with the 150 Ohm resistor (that's a little less than 60 mW per LED at 12V operation).

Then again, you can claim that a Pinto is the safest car in your lot - after all if you never drive it, you'll never get in a collision and the statement would be true indeed.
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